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Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)

Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).Broadcom said that the company focuses on the application of cash to repay debts.US Congressman French Hill will take over as the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. On December 12, local time, the reporter learned that French Hill, a Republican congressman and former banker from Arkansas, will be the next chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. The Financial Services Committee of the House of Representatives is an important body of the US Congress, which is responsible for supervising the financial industry and formulating relevant legislation. Its responsibilities cover banking, the overall financial system and the cryptocurrency market. Hill will succeed retiring Patrick Patrick McHenry, whose formal appointment is expected to be approved by the Republican Party in the next few days. (CCTV)

The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)Soochow securities Lu Zhe: The Central Economic Work Conference further boosted confidence in the capital market. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting analyzed the current economic situation and deployed economic work in 2025. Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, believes that the contents of the meeting will face the adverse changes and influences of the internal and external economic environment directly, with more emphasis on the orientation of policy consistency, and policy coordination will be more important next year. Next year, the strength of macro-policies will be significantly increased, and more concrete and operable policy measures will be introduced, which will provide a strong guarantee for the economy to tide over difficulties in the short term and deepen long-term reforms. Lu Zhe said that the Central Economic Work Conference regards "stabilizing the stock market and the property market" as the basic premise of steady growth, which on the one hand shows that the policy pays more attention to the capital market, and on the other hand shows that stabilizing the capital market and the real estate market is an important working means to boost confidence and enhance expectations. Judging from the key work arrangement of the meeting, the combination of "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy" and the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment are expected to stabilize the economic fundamentals, provide more macro liquidity for the market, and guide the confidence stability and profit recovery of the capital market. (SSE)China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.